Bootcamp overlay (weeks 1-2 only): session-07.html. Full course continues through week 18. Overlay does not shrink 30-1/30-2/30-3 to ten outcomes.

Canonical combined lesson MATH30B-L007 · week 2 day 2 · ENHANCED_BOOTCAMP_OVERLAY

MATH30B-L007 - Counting and probability shared launch

• Delivery id: MATH30B (combined classroom; not a fourth credential)
• Official courses: Mathematics 30-1 (MAT3791), 30-2 (MAT3792), 30-3 (MAT3793)
• Lesson ID: MATH30B-L007
• Calendar: Week 2 Day 2 of 18 weeks × 5 days (lesson 7 of 90)
• Object type: canonical combined-classroom lesson
• Braid class: B
• Bootcamp overlay: sessions/session-07.md (weeks 1-2 start maps; this file is still a full pack lesson with three workshops)
• Labels: ALL STRANDS launch → 30-1 REQUIRED / 30-2 REQUIRED / 30-3 REQUIRED workshops → CROSS-STRAND EXPOSURE ≠ mastery
• Source: Alberta Mathematics 10-12 Program of Studies, https://open.alberta.ca/publications/mathematics-grades-10-12
• Official outcome IDs today: MATH30-1-TRIGONOM-01-021, MATH30-2-LOGICALR-04-006, MATH30-2-LOGICALR-02-004, MATH30-3-ALGEBRA-01-011

Calendar honesty: This is week 2 day 2 of 18×5. It is not “the whole course.” Remaining 30-1 (24), 30-2 (17), and 30-3 (11) specific outcomes continue in weeks 3-18.

Labels (post on the board)

1. ALL STRANDS - shared launch only.
2. 30-1 REQUIRED - MAT3791 tray; mastery evidence for 30-1 SOs listed below.
3. 30-2 REQUIRED - MAT3792 tray; mastery evidence for 30-2 SOs listed below.
4. 30-3 REQUIRED - MAT3793 tray; mastery evidence for 30-3 SOs listed below.
5. CROSS-STRAND EXPOSURE ≠ mastery - hearing another tray is logged as EXPOSURE, never as an SO tick, never as a silent enrolment change.

ALL STRANDS launch (~10-14 min)

Shared story: choosing a test kit or a sampling path. 30-1 FCP; 30-2 FCP plus exclusive events; 30-3 interprets a given probability.

Clock ~75 min unless the school uses 60; cut the workshop block first, never the strand exit ticket. Class C parallel workshops are the default when one strand is on exclusive work.

Official outcomes (REQUIRED on home strand)

Strand	Official ID	Role today
30-1	MATH30-1-TRIGONOM-01-021	REQUIRED - Apply the fundamental counting principle to solve problems
30-2	MATH30-2-LOGICALR-04-006	REQUIRED - Solve problems that involve the fundamental counting principle
30-2	MATH30-2-LOGICALR-02-004	REQUIRED - Solve problems that involve the probability of mutually exclusive and non-mutually exclusive events
30-3	MATH30-3-ALGEBRA-01-011	REQUIRED - Analyze and interpret problems that involve probability

30-1 workshop - 30-1 REQUIRED

Clock: ~22-28 min after launch (cut workshop before cutting the strand exit ticket). Learners on this tray stay on 30-1.

MATH30-1-TRIGONOM-01-021

Official text: Apply the fundamental counting principle to solve problems

Worked example (unique to this hour, this strand, this SO): A lock uses 2 digits (0-9) then 5 letters (26). Count codes if repetition is allowed, then if digits cannot repeat. Add a restriction: first digit not 0.

Level	Prompt (inside the home strand)
FOUNDATION	Two-stage menu count.
CORE	Multi-stage FCP.
PROFICIENT	FCP with a restriction.
ADVANCED	Justify an overcount.

Diagram: Timing: after retrieval, before independent practice. Do not open the diagram during the first retrieval prompt. Tree diagram VIS-M30B-FCP.

Independent practice: a new instance of today’s SO(s) with different numbers than the worked example. Two sentences on reasonableness.

Wrong-answer repair (do not praise):

• 30-1 SO 021: Adding choices instead of multiplying stages. Repair: name the first wrong line, replace it, and re-complete the CORE tray item. Do not praise the wrong line.

30-2 workshop - 30-2 REQUIRED

Clock: ~22-28 min after launch (cut workshop before cutting the strand exit ticket). Learners on this tray stay on 30-2.

MATH30-2-LOGICALR-04-006

Official text: Solve problems that involve the fundamental counting principle

Worked example (unique to this hour, this strand, this SO): Outfit a sample kit: 2 bottle types × 5 labels × 5 cap colours. Count with FCP. Then forbid one labelled combination and recount.

Level	Prompt (inside the home strand)
FOUNDATION	Two-stage FCP.
CORE	Three-stage kit count.
PROFICIENT	Forbidden combo.
ADVANCED	Explain FCP vs listing.

Diagram: Timing: after retrieval, before independent practice. Do not open the diagram during the first retrieval prompt. Tree diagrams VIS-M30B-FCP in a chance context.

MATH30-2-LOGICALR-02-004

Official text: Solve problems that involve the probability of mutually exclusive and non-mutually exclusive events

Worked example (unique to this hour, this strand, this SO): P(A)=2/10, P(B)=5/10, P(A∩B)=1/10. Decide mutually exclusive or not. Compute P(A∪B). Contrast a pair of events that cannot occur together.

Level	Prompt (inside the home strand)
FOUNDATION	Exclusive pair example.
CORE	P(A or B) exclusive.
PROFICIENT	Non-exclusive with overlap.
ADVANCED	Justify overlap from a story.

Diagram: Timing: after retrieval, before independent practice. Do not open the diagram during the first retrieval prompt. Venn overlay for exclusive vs overlapping events.

Independent practice: a new instance of today’s SO(s) with different numbers than the worked example. Two sentences on reasonableness.

Wrong-answer repair (do not praise):

• 30-2 SO 006: Listing a few outcomes and treating the list as complete. Repair: name the first wrong line, replace it, and re-complete the CORE tray item. Do not praise the wrong line.
• 30-2 SO 004: Using P(A)+P(B) when events overlap. Repair: name the first wrong line, replace it, and re-complete the CORE tray item. Do not praise the wrong line.

30-3 workshop - 30-3 REQUIRED

Clock: ~22-28 min after launch (cut workshop before cutting the strand exit ticket). Learners on this tray stay on 30-3.

MATH30-3-ALGEBRA-01-011

Official text: Analyze and interpret problems that involve probability

Worked example (unique to this hour, this strand, this SO): A poster: “There is a 90% chance the water is safe.” Critique: 90% of what? Sample size? Given P(fail)=2/100, interpret in words. Do not compute nPr as evidence for this SO.

Level	Prompt (inside the home strand)
FOUNDATION	Likely/unlikely from a given P.
CORE	Interpret a given P in the story.
PROFICIENT	Critique a claim.
ADVANCED	Sample-space talk without nPr.

Diagram: Timing: after retrieval, before independent practice. Do not open the diagram during the first retrieval prompt. Probability-statement cards (interpret, do not run nPr).

Independent practice: a new instance of today’s SO(s) with different numbers than the worked example. Two sentences on reasonableness.

Wrong-answer repair (do not praise):

• 30-3 SO 011: Computing nPr or a 30-1 counting proof as if it were 011. Repair: name the first wrong line, replace it, and re-complete the CORE tray item. Do not praise the wrong line.

CROSS-STRAND EXPOSURE ≠ mastery

• CROSS-STRAND EXPOSURE ≠ mastery. Log D items. Do not tick another strand’s SO.
• AI Tutor must not treat an exposure card as proficiency.

Project or clean math

Project overlay today: none. Use a clean math prompt on the home-strand tray. Do not force Sustainable Community Water & Hygiene onto work that is not genuinely that mathematics.

AI Tutor

• Load the authorized home strand only: MAT3791 (Mathematics 30-1) or MAT3792 (Mathematics 30-2) or MAT3793 (Mathematics 30-3) from the authorized profile.
• Never silent-switch a struggling 30-1 learner into 30-2/30-3 banks (or the reverse) to “make it easier.”
• Serve today’s home-strand SOs. Exposure cards are read-only.
• Never dump diploma keys or released exam wording. Original items only.
• Wrong answers: name the error and repair; do not praise.

Human-tutor handoff

Call a human tutor when: the learner cannot complete CORE after two documented repairs; an identity proof (30-1 006) is stuck after the identity map; a 30-2 017 source is unsafe or empty; a 30-3 vehicle/business number is being faked to match a hoped-for answer; distress, disclosure, or a request to change official enrolment. Enrolment changes are an office/PASI process, not a tutor action.

Diagram / whiteboard

Approved starter math30-quadratic-shift. Strand workshops may add axes/tables. Never praise a translated parabola as a circle.

Strand exit ticket (~8-12 min)

Collect only the home-strand row. Exposure ≠ mastery. Lesson MATH30B-L007.

Home strand	Primary SO	Exit ticket (unique to this lesson)
30-1	MATH30-1-TRIGONOM-01-021	CORE exit: A lock uses 2 digits (0-9) then 5 letters (26). Count codes if repetition is allowed, then if digits cannot repeat. Add a restriction: first digit not 0. FOUNDATION alternate: Two-stage menu count. Do not submit another strand’s ticket as 30-1 mastery.
30-2	MATH30-2-LOGICALR-04-006	CORE exit: Outfit a sample kit: 2 bottle types × 5 labels × 5 cap colours. Count with FCP. Then forbid one labelled combination and recount. FOUNDATION alternate: Two-stage FCP. Do not submit another strand’s ticket as 30-2 mastery.
30-3	MATH30-3-ALGEBRA-01-011	CORE exit: A poster: “There is a 90% chance the water is safe.” Critique: 90% of what? Sample size? Given P(fail)=2/100, interpret in words. Do not compute nPr as evidence for this SO. FOUNDATION alternate: Likely/unlikely from a given P. Do not submit another strand’s ticket as 30-3 mastery.

Provenance

Official IDs/text: _official_math_calm_outcomes.json. Pacing: MATH30_COMBINED_CLASSROOM_PACING.md. Crosswalk: MATH30_1_30_2_30_3_OUTCOME_CROSSWALK.csv. Generated by oeom/core/training/rapid3/write_math30b_lessons.py.